Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.022767 0.027598 0.032682 0.038389 0.044577 0.051047 0.058289
2025-11-30 0.015438 0.022159 0.029792 0.038891 0.049261 0.060557 0.073649
2025-12-07 0.011147 0.018856 0.028234 0.039968 0.053838 0.069376 0.087795
2025-12-14 0.008567 0.016935 0.027752 0.041822 0.058915 0.078448 0.101961
2025-12-21 0.006263 0.014806 0.026588 0.042503 0.062331 0.085389 0.113512
2025-12-28 0.005551 0.014779 0.028033 0.046331 0.069449 0.096586 0.129914
2026-01-04 0.003537 0.012182 0.025648 0.045003 0.070061 0.099951 0.137088
2026-01-11 0.002535 0.010994 0.025061 0.045884 0.073306 0.106372 0.147768
2026-01-18 0.001658 0.009701 0.024133 0.046176 0.075710 0.111706 0.157107
2026-01-25 0.001034 0.008639 0.023411 0.046645 0.078264 0.117168 0.166553
2026-02-01 0.000531 0.007493 0.022385 0.046578 0.080045 0.121624 0.174750
2026-02-08 0.000102 0.005732 0.020013 0.044374 0.078876 0.122323 0.178332
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004281 0.017960 0.042581 0.078302 0.123887 0.183164
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003740 0.017603 0.043354 0.081217 0.129886 0.193466
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003367 0.017531 0.044544 0.084694 0.136601 0.204656
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003226 0.017953 0.046516 0.089254 0.144701 0.217559
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002807 0.017631 0.047238 0.092045 0.150518 0.227634
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003175 0.019307 0.051280 0.099526 0.162392 0.245224
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002341 0.017752 0.049879 0.099276 0.164261 0.250390
2026-04-05 NaN 0.002065 0.017603 0.050808 0.102315 0.170375 0.260822
2026-04-12 NaN 0.001711 0.017116 0.051116 0.104440 0.175284 0.269744
2026-04-19 NaN 0.001428 0.016757 0.051610 0.106813 0.180506 0.279048
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001103 0.016108 0.051540 0.108335 0.184592 0.286912